The World’s No. 1 Quarterback Ranking is based on a model devised by Bill James to evaluate The World’s No. 1 Starting Pitcher. Bill’s model was based on cumulative evaluation of individual starts over an extended time period using the metric Game Score.
The World’s No. 1 Quarterback Ranking uses our player value stat, Total Points to make a cumulative evaluation of game performance over a three-year period. The key to our calculation is Points Above Average (PAA), the statistical underpinning of Total Points that is centered at zero so that positive numbers are above average and negative numbers are below average.
Success over time is key to maintaining a good ranking. Prolonged inactivity results in a ranking drop. The most recent performances carry the most weight.
Here are the rankings entering the 2024 regular season
Rank | Player | PAA Per 60 |
1 | Patrick Mahomes | 7.6 |
2 | Josh Allen | 6.8 |
3 | Derek Carr | 4.2 |
4 | Jalen Hurts | 3.9 |
5 | Lamar Jackson | 3.7 |
6 | Jared Goff | 3.3 |
7 | Justin Herbert | 3.3 |
8 | Jordan Love | 3.2 |
9 | Dak Prescott | 2.2 |
10 | Trevor Lawrence | 1.6 |
11 | Joe Burrow | 1.5 |
12 | Matthew Stafford | 1.5 |
13 | Brock Purdy | 1.4 |
14 | Kirk Cousins | 0.9 |
15 | Justin Fields | 0.8 |
16 | Geno Smith | 0.7 |
17 | Baker Mayfield | 0.1 |
18 | C.J. Stroud | 0.0 |
19 | Tua Tagovailoa | -0.2 |
20 | Kyler Murray | -0.2 |
21 | Gardner Minshew | -0.3 |
22 | Jake Browning | -0.8 |
23 | Andy Dalton | -0.8 |
24 | Jacoby Brissett | -0.9 |
25 | Joshua Dobbs | -1.3 |
26 | Tyrod Taylor | -1.4 |
27 | Joe Flacco | -1.4 |
28 | Deshaun Watson | -1.6 |
29 | Mason Rudolph | -1.7 |
30 | Kenny Pickett | -1.8 |
31 | Aaron Rodgers | -2.0 |
32 | C.J. Beathard | -2.0 |
33 | Sam Howell | -2.1 |
34 | Mitch Trubisky | -2.1 |
35 | Aidan OConnell | -2.1 |
36 | Sam Darnold | -2.4 |
37 | Teddy Bridgewater | -2.4 |
38 | Carson Wentz | -2.5 |
39 | Anthony Richardson | -2.5 |
40 | Jameis Winston | -2.5 |
41 | Skylar Thompson | -2.5 |
42 | Mike White | -2.6 |
43 | Blaine Gabbert | -2.6 |
44 | Josh Johnson | -2.6 |
45 | Cooper Rush | -2.6 |
46 | Drew Lock | -2.6 |
47 | Nathan Peterman | -2.6 |
48 | Davis Mills | -2.6 |
49 | Brian Hoyer | -2.6 |
50 | Sean Mannion | -2.7 |
51 | Trey Lance | -2.7 |
52 | Brandon Allen | -2.7 |
53 | Jake Fromm | -2.7 |
54 | Jarrett Stidham | -2.7 |
55 | Ryan Tannehill | -2.7 |
56 | Tyson Bagent | -2.8 |
57 | Dorian Thompson-Robinson | -2.8 |
58 | Russell Wilson | -2.8 |
59 | Tyler Huntley | -2.8 |
60 | Brett Rypien | -2.8 |
61 | John Wolford | -2.9 |
62 | Marcus Mariota | -2.9 |
63 | Taylor Heinicke | -2.9 |
64 | Anthony Brown | -2.9 |
65 | Malik Willis | -3.0 |
66 | Sam Ehlinger | -3.0 |
67 | Case Keenum | -3.0 |
68 | Kyle Allen | -3.1 |
69 | Jaren Hall | -3.1 |
70 | Jeff Driskel | -3.2 |
71 | Tim Boyle | -3.3 |
72 | Trace McSorley | -3.3 |
73 | Daniel Jones | -3.5 |
74 | Trevor Siemian | -3.6 |
75 | Jimmy Garoppolo | -3.7 |
76 | Tommy DeVito | -4.0 |
77 | Nick Mullens | -4.1 |
78 | Easton Stick | -4.1 |
79 | Will Levis | -4.1 |
80 | Mac Jones | -4.1 |
81 | Clayton Tune | -4.2 |
82 | Zach Wilson | -4.4 |
83 | P.J. Walker | -4.7 |
84 | Bryce Young | -5.0 |
85 | Desmond Ridder | -6.0 |
86 | Bailey Zappe | -6.3 |